News & Research

arXiv:2605.14889v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Online surgical phase recognition (SPR) underpins context-aware operating-room systems and requires committing to a prediction at every frame from past context alone. Surgical video poses three demands that natural-video recognizers do not jointly address: procedures span tens of thousands of frames, time flows non-uniformly as long routine stretches are punctuated by brief phase-defining transitions, and the visual domain is narrow so backbone features are strongly correlated across channels. Existing recognizers either let per-frame cost grow with elapsed length, or hold cost bounded but advance state at a uniform rate with channel-independent dynamics, leaving the latter two demands unaddressed. We present SurgicalMamba, a causal SPR model built on Mamba2's structured state-space duality (SSD) that holds per-frame cost at O(d). It introduces three SSD-compatible components that jointly address these demands: a dual-path SSD b

arXiv:2605.15236v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In the coded caching, the server uses the cached information at the users to serve multiple users in parallel with a single coded multi-casting message or packet, that is, a merged packet, and thus mitigates the peak network congestion. In order to deliver the timely messages to the users in the deadline-driven applications like the video streaming, we must determine online the messages to be merged for the delivery, as there is a time limit for each request. It is important to note that while the merging aids the current coded multi-casting packet, it could harm the future deliveries. Our solution employs the deep reinforcement learning to view the coded multi-casting delivery as a masked action-discrete state control problem, and our policy network, trained via the proximal policy optimization, performs better than SACM++. On the uniform-demand benchmark, our policy network reduces the broadcast-packet expiration ratio $\rho$

arXiv:2605.16302v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reinforcement learning for multi-step reasoning with large language models (LLMs) typically relies on sparse terminal rewards, which creates a poorly conditioned credit-assignment problem: the final feedback is propagated uniformly across all intermediate decisions. This leads to high gradient variance, unstable training, and many ineffective updates, ultimately limiting sustained model improvement. We propose a counterfactual-comparison framework for credit assignment. For each input, the framework samples multiple reasoning trajectories and treats their differences as implicit approximations to alternative decisions. This yields an implicit process-level advantage estimator that converts sparse terminal rewards into step-sensitive learning signals. Building on this framework, we introduce Implicit Behavior Policy Optimization (IBPO), which substantially improves training stability and the performance ceiling on mathematical an

arXiv:2605.16591v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In-context learning (ICL) excels at new tasks from minimal examples, yet we still lack a mechanistic explanation of how few-shot prompts shape a model's function vector (FV)--a causal activation direction that drives task behavior on the ICL query. Across tasks and models, an $n$-shot FV is well-approximated by a linear combination of example-level sub-FVs, suggesting additive and composable contributions from individual demonstrations. Beyond additivity, we show that models contextualize individual examples' representations based on prior examples to adaptively reweight which demonstrations dominate the FV: attention shifts toward examples that are more informative and less ambiguous under the context. Finally, a causal decomposition separates Query-Key routing from Value updates, finding that contextualization's most consistent contributions to FV quality arise from Query-Key alignment--particularly in ambiguous settings--whil

arXiv:2605.17273v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: State-of-the-Art (SOTA) claims pervade Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) research. These claims rest on benchmark evaluations, where models are ranked by aggregate scores across tasks. Public benchmarks or leaderboards are the most visible instance, but the same structure appears in paper tables throughout the literature. However, such minimal evidence often cannot support these strong claims. We identify a widespread claim-evidence gap in AI benchmarking. Claiming SOTA carries implicit assumptions beyond mean score superiority, suggesting that a model meaningfully outperforms alternatives across most tasks. However, a marginal improvement in the mean score merely indicates a top average rank rather than true superiority. Analyzing ten cross-domain benchmarks from public leaderboards, we found that in more than half of top-model comparisons, at least one commonly assumed property of superiority does not hold

arXiv:2605.17730v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Mainstream methods for multivariate time-series forecasting largely follow the Direct-Mapping paradigm. They learn a unified mapping from history to the future in the observation space to fit value-level dependencies. However, real-world systems often undergo distribution shifts and regime changes. In such cases, a unified mapping can exhibit response lag around turning points, causing error accumulation within the switching window and reducing forecasting reliability. To address this issue, we propose L-Drive, a change-aware forecasting framework. L-Drive introduces a Latent-Context, to explicitly characterize high-level dynamics evolving over time, and uses gating to modulate increment representations. This provides more timely change cues and improves adaptation to changing segments. In addition, it incorporates patch-shared relative positional basis functions to strengthen intra-segment structural modeling and reduce overfit

arXiv:2605.17937v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Quantitative backtesting is essential for evaluating trading strategies but remains hampered by high technical barriers and limited scalability. While Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a transformative path to automate this complex, interdisciplinary workflow through advanced code generation, tool usage, and agentic planning, the practical realization is significantly challenged by the current lack of a large-scale benchmark dedicated to automated quantitative backtesting, which hinders progress in this field. To bridge this critical gap, we introduce BacktestBench, the first large-scale benchmark for automated quantitative backtesting. Built from over 6 million real market records, it comprises 18,246 meticulously annotated question-answering pairs across four task categories: metrics calculation, ticker selection, strategy selection, and parameter confirmation. We also propose AutoBacktest, a robust multi-agent baseline that

arXiv:2605.17986v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: AI agents such as OpenClaw are increasingly deployed in local workflows with access to external tools. This creates indirect prompt-injection (IPI) risk: an agent may execute harmful instructions embedded in untrusted inputs such as email, downloaded files, webpages, repositories, or group-chat messages. Existing evaluations are often small, purely simulated, or focused on a narrow set of channels. We introduce LivePI (Live Prompt Injection), a structured benchmark for IPI risk in a production-like but test-controlled environment. LivePI covers seven input surfaces, twelve attack/rendering families, and five malicious goals, including protected-information exfiltration, unauthorized security-control changes, unsafe code retrieval or execution, inbox-summary exfiltration, and cryptocurrency transfer. We run LivePI on a real virtual machine with live but test-controlled email, chat, web, local-file, repository, and wallet interfac

arXiv:2605.18224v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study exact constant collapse in variational autoencoders: the deterministic encoder mean becomes independent of the input. The prior remains the standard Gaussian. Before VAE training, we select a fixed teacher posterior from a GMM-based view of the data and attach a fixed latent-only simplex witness to the encoder mean. This construction yields two linked objects. The first is a certificate: if the witness prediction improves on the best constant predictor of the teacher, the encoder mean cannot be input-independent constant. The second is a local escape direction: on the collapsed manifold, the teacher residual gives a sample-dependent descent direction for the alignment loss. For any full-support teacher posterior, the same geometry also gives a closed-form latent code with zero teacher-witness alignment error. Its scaled versions trace a margin-energy path from the constant predictor to the exact teacher code, which quan

arXiv:2605.18657v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have demonstrated notable success in general-purpose forecasting tasks; however, their adaptation to specialized classification problems remains constrained by the computational bottleneck of standard attention and the systematic omission of classical statistical knowledge. This technical report introduces KairosHope, a next-generation TSFM designed to reconcile massive generalization with analytical precision in classification tasks. The core of the proposal is the HOPE block, an architecture that replaces quadratic attention with a dual-memory system: Titans modules for dynamic short-term retention and a Continuum Memory System (CMS) for the abstraction of long-term historical context. To enrich the inductive bias, a Hybrid Decision Head is introduced, which fuses deep latent representations with deterministic statistical features extracted via tsfeatures package. KairosHope undergoes self

arXiv:2605.18797v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Scaling model performance typically requires increasing model size. Looped Transformer offers a compelling alternative by iteratively reusing the same Transformer blocks, trading additional computation for improved performance without increasing parameter count or context length. Because the number of loop iterations can be adjusted at inference, it also provides a natural mechanism for balancing performance and test-time compute. However, Looped Transformer still suffers from training instability when the number of loop iterations increases. Our analysis reveals that this instability stems from two sources: gradient oscillation and residual explosion. To address these two problems, we propose the Fully Looped Transformer, which introduces two parameter-free modifications: (1) Fully Looped Architecture, which distributes inter-loop signals across all layers to mitigate residual explosion; (2) Attention Injection, which reuses th

arXiv:2605.18840v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Leaderboards rank frontier models on independent axes but do not reveal whether capabilities reinforce or trade off across releases -- and at the frontier, this interaction is the more informative signal. We decompose paired SWE-bench and GPQA Diamond scores into a population coupling trend and per-release residual ($h$-field) that diagnoses capability emphasis from two public benchmark scores. Across 34 models from 10 labs (2024--2026), capabilities cooperate ($r = +0.72$, $p < 10^{-6}$), but cooperation varies systematically: per-lab coupling slopes span $5\times$ (Google $1.15$ vs. DeepSeek $0.23$), and labs pivot -- DeepSeek reversed from reasoning-rich to coding-first ($\Delta h = 15.9$~pp); Anthropic oscillates between coding excursions and recovery. The population regression serves as an isocline phase boundary: the same $\sqrt{(a/b)\cdot B_1}$ classifier that identifies the base-scale coupling transition [Amin, 2026] cla

arXiv:2605.18916v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We investigate Counterfactual Video Foley Generation, which aims to adopt a sound-source identity that contradicts the visual evidence while remaining temporally synchronized to a silent video. Existing Video&Text-to-Audio (VT2A) models struggle with this, often remaining anchored to the visually implied sound source when video and text contents disagree. We present ConterFlow, an inference-time dual-phase sampling scheme for pretrained flow-matching VT2A models. Phase 1 builds a video-derived temporal structure while suppressing the visually implied source; Phase 2 drops video conditioning to focus entirely on shaping audio timbre toward the target prompt. ConterFlow substantially improves counterfactual Video Foley generation compared to naive negative prompting and state-of-the-art baselines. To evaluate replacement quality, we propose a metric leveraging a text-audio co-embedding space to measure both target-prompt evidence

arXiv:2605.18932v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In this work, we propose HypergraphFormer, a novel and efficient approach to floor plan generation based on learning hypergraph representations with a large language model (LLM). The model is trained via supervised fine-tuning to generate a hypergraph-based textual representation that encodes spatial relationships and connectivity information within floor plans. We train and evaluate our approach on the RPLAN dataset, and further demonstrate its generalizability on a separate out-of-distribution dataset, which we release in this paper. Our method outperforms state-of-the-art techniques based on rasterized or vectorized representations across a diverse set of metrics. We also show improved data efficiency, particularly under distribution shift. The hypergraph formulation enables the generation of floor plans for arbitrary, irregular, user-specified boundaries by decoupling apartment footprints from their functional and geometric

arXiv:2605.19409v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Continual Model Merging (CMM) enables rapid customization of foundation models by sequentially incorporating task-adapted models without repeated retraining. However, existing merging rules usually update the deployed model through fixed algebraic or projection-based operations, providing limited control over how much previously accumulated knowledge should be retained relative to the incoming task model. This limitation leads to unstable retention and performance degradation in long task streams, and becomes more pronounced when tasks have heterogeneous utilities. We propose ODE-driven Merging (ODE-M), a controllable framework that formulates each continual merge as a trajectory in parameter space rather than a one-step endpoint update. Motivated by mode connectivity, ODE-M constructs a barrier-aware trajectory using a rectified time-dependent velocity field, where lightweight first-order feedback from a small calibration set s