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Showing 12016 of 13498 articles

Assessing the Operational Viability of Foundation Models for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv

arXiv:2605.24381v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series forecasting drives operational decisions in areas like finance, transportation, and energy. While supervised learning approaches achieve strong performance, they require domain-specific training, feature engineering, and ongoing maintenance. Large-scale foundation models have recently emerged as a zero-shot alternative, avoiding task-specific training much like LLMs. In this work, we evaluate foundation models against standard supervised approaches. Rather than focusing solely on aggregate accuracy, we analyze performance across four operational regimes: periodic human-centric systems, physically constrained processes, stochastic financial markets, and heterogeneous demand forecasting. Our results characterize optimal deployment areas. Foundation models perform well in domains with transferable periodic structures and are efficient for cold-start or long-tail scenarios. Conversely, supervised specialists maintain higher prec

OASES: Outcome-Aligned Search-Evaluation Co-Training for Agentic Search

arXiv

arXiv:2604.03675v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Agentic search enables language models to solve knowledge-intensive tasks by adaptively acquiring external evidence over multiple steps. Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has emerged as a widely adopted training paradigm for search agents, yet outcome-only rewards are sparse and provide limited credit assignment for intermediate search actions. Existing process-reward methods therefore seek to densify supervision through proxy signals, external evaluators, or likelihood-based information gain. However, proxy rewards can deviate from the final outcome objective, while fixed evaluators can become stale as the search policy evolves, leading to unreliable process supervision. To address these challenges, we propose OASES, an Outcome-Aligned Search-Evaluation Supervision framework for agentic search. OASES derives outcome-aligned process rewards by evaluating how well each intermediate search state supports answering th

reinforcement-learning

ExplainReduce: Generating global explanations from many local explanations

arXiv

arXiv:2502.10311v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Most commonly used non-linear machine learning methods are closed-box models, uninterpretable to humans. The field of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) aims to develop tools to examine the inner workings of these closed boxes. An often-used model-agnostic approach to XAI involves using simple models as local approximations to produce so-called local explanations; examples of this approach include LIME, SHAP, and SLISEMAP. This paper shows how a large set of local explanations can be reduced to a small "proxy set" of simple models, which can act as a generative global explanation. This reduction procedure, ExplainReduce, can be formulated as an optimisation problem and approximated efficiently using greedy heuristics. We show that, for many problems, as few as five explanations can faithfully emulate the closed-box model and that our reduction procedure is competitive with other model aggregation methods.

Bridging Earth and Space: A Survey on HAPS for Non-Terrestrial Networks

arXiv

arXiv:2510.19731v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: HAPS are emerging as key enablers in the evolution of 6G wireless networks, bridging terrestrial and non-terrestrial infrastructures. Operating in the stratosphere, HAPS can provide wide-area coverage, low-latency, energy-efficient broadband communications with flexible deployment options for diverse applications. This survey delivers a comprehensive overview of HAPS use cases, technologies, and integration strategies within the 6G ecosystem. The roles of HAPS in extending connectivity to underserved regions, supporting dynamic backhauling, enabling massive IoT, and delivering reliable low-latency communications for autonomous and immersive services are discussed. The paper reviews state-of-the-art architectures for terrestrial and non-terrestrial network integration, highlights recent field trials. Furthermore, key enabling technologies such as channel modeling, AI-driven resource allocation, interference control, mobility mana

autonomouscontrol

Knowing When to Quit: A Principled Framework for Dynamic Abstention in LLM Reasoning

arXiv

arXiv:2604.18419v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: LLMs utilizing chain-of-thought reasoning often waste substantial compute by producing long, incorrect responses. Abstention can mitigate this by withholding outputs unlikely to be correct. While most abstention methods decide to withhold outputs before or after generation, dynamic mid-generation abstention considers early termination of unpromising reasoning traces at each token position. Prior work has explored empirical variants of this idea, but principled guidance for the abstention rule remains lacking. We present a formal analysis of dynamic abstention for LLMs, modeling abstention as an explicit action within a regularized reinforcement learning framework. An abstention reward parameter controls the trade-off between compute and information. We show that abstaining when the value function falls below this reward strictly outperforms natural baselines under general conditions. We further derive a principled and efficient method

reinforcement-learningcontrol

Generation Enhances Understanding in Unified Multimodal Models via Multi-Representation Generation

arXiv

arXiv:2601.21406v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Unified Multimodal Models (UMMs) integrate both visual understanding and generation within a single framework. Their ultimate aspiration is to create a cycle where understanding and generation mutually reinforce each other. While recent post-training methods have successfully leveraged understanding to enhance generation, the reverse direction of utilizing generation to improve understanding remains largely unexplored. In this work, we propose UniMRG (Unified Multi-Representation Generation), a simple yet effective architecture-agnostic post-training method. UniMRG enhances the understanding capabilities of UMMs by incorporating auxiliary generation tasks. Specifically, we train UMMs to generate multiple intrinsic representations of input images, namely pixel (reconstruction), depth (geometry), and segmentation (structure), alongside standard visual understanding objectives. By synthesizing these diverse representations, UMMs ca

ConceptM$^3$oE: Concept-Guided Multimodal Mixture of Experts for Interpretable Computational Pathology

arXiv

arXiv:2605.24399v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Healthcare models are transitioning from unimodal prediction toward multimodal reasoning over heterogeneous diagnostic inputs. In computational pathology, for complex tumor subtypes where morphology alone can be challenging to distinguish, pathology reports and molecular measurements may provide additional diagnostic evidence alongside whole-slide images, yet existing models often fail to clarify how diverse signals assemble into recognizable diagnostic concepts. We propose ConceptM$^3$oE (Concept Multimodal MoE), which embeds concept formation directly within interaction-aware mixture-of-experts (MoE) pathways. The architecture decomposes evidence into modality-specific, redundant, and synergistic experts, which are then projected into structured concept bottlenecks mapping latent features to a hierarchy of morphology and biomarker concepts. To prevent the information loss typical of interpretable bottlenecks, we utilize residual pathway

AgentGrounder: Zero-Shot 3D Visual Pointcloud Grounding using Multimodal Language Models

arXiv

arXiv:2605.25901v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: 3D Visual Grounding (3DVG) is an essential capability for embodied AI, requiring agents to localize objects in 3D scenes based on natural language descriptions. Recent zero-shot methods leverage 2D vision-language models (LVLMs). However, they often rely on existing sets of multi-view images and struggle with the limited semantic and spatial details provided by standard 3D segmentation tools. We present $\textbf{AgentGrounder}$, a zero-shot 3D visual grounding framework that operates directly on colored point clouds without task-specific 3D training. Our approach follows a two-stage design: (1) an offline stage that applies 3D model to build an Object Lookup Table (OLT) with instance IDs, semantic labels, 3D bounding boxes; and (2) an online tool-driven agent that decomposes each query, retrieves only relevant candidates from the OLT, performs geometric scoring, and triggers image rendering on demand when additional visual evidence (e.g

Lake Detection and Water Quality Estimation in Sentinel-2 Data

arXiv

arXiv:2605.24515v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: With climate change and increasing human pressure on natural landscapes, inland water resources are becoming progressively scarcer, more vulnerable, and more difficult to manage sustainably. Reliable and automated methods for detecting, monitoring, and assessing surface water bodies are therefore of growing scientific and practical importance. In this paper, we investigate and compare three distinct machine learning architectures for water body identification and monitoring. Their performance is evaluated through quantitative metrics and real-world examples. Furthermore, a direct comparison with classical NDWI thresholding is conducted on a representative test image to highlight differences between data-driven and index-based approaches. This analysis allows us to identify the best-performing model in terms of accuracy, robustness, and practical applicability. Beyond detection, a major challenge for meaningful water quality assessment lie

SomaliBench Eval: Measuring English-to-Somali Refusal Gaps in Open-Weight Language Models

arXiv

arXiv:2605.25420v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language model safety evaluation remains heavily English-centered, leaving low-resource languages under-measured even when models are deployed globally. We evaluate four open-weight instruction-tuned models on SomaliBench v0, a native-author-verified benchmark of 100 harmful-intent prompts paired across English and Somali. Each of Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct, Gemma-2-9B-Instruct, Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct, and Aya-23-8B is run locally with temperature 0 and the same English "helpful, harmless, and honest" (HHH) system prompt. A pinned Claude Sonnet snapshot (claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929) classifies each response as refused, complied, or unclear; the native author spot-checks a stratified 80-row sample. We find large English-to-Somali refusal gaps for all four models: Llama-3.1-8B (0.90; 95% bootstrap CI [0.85, 0.96]), Aya-23-8B (0.75 [0.67, 0.83]), Qwen-2.5-7B (0.69 [0.59, 0.78]), and Gemma-2-9B (0.38 [0.27, 0.49]). For three models, the domin

SafeGPT: Preventing Data Leakage and Unethical Outputs in Enterprise LLM Use

arXiv

arXiv:2601.06366v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) are transforming enterprise workflows but introduce security and ethics challenges when employees inadvertently share confidential data or generate policy-violating content. This paper proposes SafeGPT, a two-sided guardrail system preventing sensitive data leakage and unethical outputs. SafeGPT integrates input-side detection/redaction, output-side moderation/reframing, and human-in-the-loop feedback. Experiments demonstrate SafeGPT effectively reduces data leakage risk and biased outputs while maintaining satisfaction.

One Step to the Side: Why Defenses Against Malicious Finetuning Fail Under Adaptive Adversaries

arXiv

arXiv:2605.14605v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Model providers increasingly release open weights or allow users to fine-tune foundation models through APIs. Although these models are safety-aligned before release, their safeguards can often be removed by fine-tuning on harmful data. Recent defenses aim to make models robust to such malicious fine-tuning, but they are largely evaluated only against fixed attacks that do not account for the defense. We show that these robustness claims are incomplete. Surveying 15 recent defenses, we identify several defense mechanisms and show that they share a single weakness: they obscure or misdirect the path to harmful behavior without removing the behavior itself. We then develop a unified adaptive attack that breaks defenses across all defense mechanisms. Our results show that current approaches do not provide robust security; they mainly stop the attacks they were designed against. We hope that our unified adaptive adversary for this d

Closed-Form Node Classification with Exact Graph Unlearning

arXiv

arXiv:2605.25662v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Graph neural networks for node classification are typically trained by gradient descent over hundreds or thousands of epochs. Recent work has shown that, when properly tuned, classic GCN/SAGE/GAT architectures can match graph transformers on many node-classification benchmarks. We ask a complementary question: how much of this performance can be recovered by deterministic closed-form solvers, and what guarantees does this enable? We introduce a routed closed-form framework selected by adjusted homophily. For assortative graphs, we use SGC-style propagation followed by Ridge regression; for heterophilous graphs, we introduce LCF-Net, a layer-wise closed-form graph feature-refinement network whose per-layer Ridge solves are capped by a Gaussian kernel-Ridge head. Across 14 benchmarks, including ogbn-arxiv and ogbn-proteins, our closed-form predictors match or beat the best vanilla 2-layer GCN/SAGE/GAT on 9 of 9 measured datasets, tie tuned

Certified Robustness from Approximate Gaussian Mixture Structures in Pretrained Latent Spaces

arXiv

arXiv:2605.25352v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning models are vulnerable to adversarial perturbations, raising important concerns for safety-critical deployment. Empirical defenses can achieve strong robustness in practice, but lack formal guarantees, motivating the need for certifiably robust classifiers. While certified methods provide formal guarantees, they often yield overly conservative bounds due to their inability to exploit structure in complex data distributions. In this work, we propose a framework for designing certifiably robust classifiers that leverages latent structure in data representations. We first analyze the Gaussian mixture setting, deriving necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of robust classifiers and constructing a classifier with a closed-form robustness certificate and generalization guarantees. Our main contribution is to show that exact structure is not required: we prove that if a pretrained encoder maps inputs to a latent di

Global linear convergence of entropy-regularized softmax policy gradient beyond tabular MDPs

arXiv

arXiv:2605.24939v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study the global convergence of policy gradient for infinite-horizon entropy-regularized Markov decision processes (MDPs) with continuous state and action spaces. We consider log-linear softmax policies with linear function approximation, which extend the tabular softmax parameterization while retaining a tractable policy class. Under $Q^\pi_\tau$-realizability for the regularized state-action value function, we first establish a non-uniform Polyak--{\L}ojasiewicz (P\L) inequality. The non-uniformity arises through degeneracy of constants associated with the policy geometry, namely the Fisher information matrix or an uncentered feature covariance matrix. We then identify two feature regimes under which this non-uniform constant can be bounded along the gradient flow. For full-affine-span features, we prove radial unboundedness of the KL regularizer and show that the smallest eigenvalue of the Fisher information matrix remains bounded b

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