Research Papers

arXiv:2510.06048v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective data selection is essential for pretraining large language models (LLMs), enhancing efficiency and improving generalization to downstream tasks. However, existing approaches often require leveraging external pretrained models, making it difficult to disentangle the effects of data selection from those of the external pretrained models. In addition, they often overlook the long-term impact of selected data if the model is trained to convergence, primarily due to the prohibitive cost of full-scale LLM pretraining. In this paper, we introduce BLISS (\textbf{B}ileve\textbf{L} \textbf{I}nfluence \textbf{S}coring method for data \textbf{S}election): a lightweight data selection method that operates entirely \emph{from scratch}, without relying on any external pretrained oracle models, while explicitly accounting for the long-term impact of selected data. BLISS leverages a small proxy model as a surrogate for the LLM and employs a

arXiv:2510.09222v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Flow Matching (FM) has shown remarkable ability in modeling complex distributions and achieves strong performance in offline imitation learning for cloning expert behaviors. However, despite its behavioral cloning expressiveness, FM-based policies are inherently limited by their lack of environmental interaction and exploration. This leads to poor generalization in unseen scenarios beyond the expert demonstrations, underscoring the necessity of online interaction with environment. Unfortunately, optimizing FM policies via online interaction is challenging and inefficient due to instability in gradient computation and high inference costs. To address these issues, we propose to let a student policy with simple MLP structure explore the environment and be online updated via RL algorithm with a reward model. This reward model is associated with a teacher FM model, containing rich information of expert data distribution. Furthermore, the

arXiv:2510.09330v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Ensuring that large language models (LLMs) comply with safety requirements is a central challenge in AI deployment. Existing alignment approaches primarily operate during training, such as through fine-tuning or reinforcement learning from human feedback, but these methods are costly and inflexible, requiring retraining whenever new requirements arise. Recent efforts toward inference-time alignment mitigate some of these limitations but still assume access to model internals, which is impractical, and not suitable for third party stakeholders who do not have access to the models. In this work, we propose a model-independent, black-box framework for safety alignment that does not require retraining or access to the underlying LLM architecture. As a proof of concept, we address the problem of trading off between generating safe but uninformative answers versus helpful yet potentially risky ones. We formulate this dilemma as a two-player

arXiv:2510.17303v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Symmetries are known to improve the empirical performance of machine learning models, yet theoretical guarantees explaining these gains remain limited. Prior work has focused mainly on compact group symmetries and often assumes that the data distribution itself is invariant, an assumption rarely satisfied in real-world applications. In this work, we extend generalization guarantees to the broader setting of non-compact symmetries, such as translations and to non-invariant data distributions. Building on the PAC-Bayes framework, we adapt and tighten existing bounds, demonstrating the approach on McAllester's PAC-Bayes bound while showing that it applies to a wide range of PAC-Bayes bounds. We validate our theory with experiments on several datasets with non-uniform and non-compact transformations, where the derived guarantees not only hold but also improve upon prior results. These findings provide theoretical evidence that, for symmet

arXiv:2510.22138v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We show how to replace the O(2^n) coalition enumeration over n features behind Shapley values and Shapley-style interaction indices with a few-evaluation scheme on a tensor-network (TN) surrogate: TN-SHAP. The key idea is to represent a predictor's local behavior as a factorized multilinear map, so that coalitional quantities become linear probes of a coefficient tensor. TN-SHAP replaces exhaustive coalition sweeps with just a small number of targeted evaluations to extract order-k Shapley interactions. In particular, both order-1 (single-feature) and order-2 (pairwise) computations have cost O(n*poly(chi) + n^2), where chi is the TN's maximal cut rank. We provide theoretical guarantees on the approximation error and tractability of TN-SHAP. On UCI datasets, our method matches enumeration on the fitted surrogate while reducing evaluation by orders of magnitude and achieves 25-1000x wall-clock speedups over KernelSHAP-IQ at comparable

arXiv:2511.04791v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modern LLM serving systems must sustain high throughput while meeting strict latency SLOs across two distinct inference phases: compute-intensive prefill and memory-bound decode phases. Existing approaches either (1) aggregate both phases on shared GPUs, leading to interference between prefill and decode phases, which degrades Time-Between-Tokens (TBT); or (2) disaggregate the two phases across GPUs, improving latency but wasting resources through duplicated models and KV cache transfers. We present DuetServe, a unified LLM serving framework that achieves disaggregation-level isolation within a single GPU. DuetServe operates in aggregated mode by default and dynamically activates SM-level GPU spatial multiplexing when TBT degradation is predicted. Its key idea is to decouple prefill and decode execution only when needed through fine-grained, adaptive SM partitioning that provides phase isolation only when contention threatens latency

arXiv:2511.04981v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Model depth is a double-edged sword in deep learning: deeper models achieve higher accuracy but require higher computational cost. To efficiently train models at scale, progressive training (also known as model expansion) scales up model capacity during training and significantly reduces computation with little performance degradation. In this work, we study the depth expansion of large-scale models through the lens of optimization theory and feature learning, offering insights on the initialization of new layers, hyperparameter transfer, learning rate schedule, and timing of model expansion. Specifically, we propose zero/one-layer progressive training to achieve an optimal tradeoff between computation and loss, with a comprehensive ablations on our expansion strategy. For example, zero/one-layer progressive training on GPT2 can save $\approx 80\%$ compute, or equivalently achieve an $\approx 5\times$ acceleration, while attaining a l

arXiv:2511.09190v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Hyperparameter Optimization (HPO) can lift the burden of tuning hyperparameters (HPs) of neural networks. HPO algorithms from the Population Based Training (PBT) family are efficient thanks to dynamically adjusting HPs every few steps of the weight optimization. Recent results indicate that the number of steps between HP updates is an important meta-HP of all PBT variants that can substantially affect their performance. Yet, no method or intuition is available for efficiently setting its value. We introduce Iterated Population Based Training (IPBT), a novel PBT variant that automatically adjusts this HP via restarts that reuse weight information in a task-agnostic way and leverage time-varying Bayesian optimization to reinitialize HPs. Evaluation on 8 image classification and reinforcement learning tasks shows that, on average, our algorithm matches or outperforms 5 previous PBT variants and other HPO algorithms (random search, ASHA,

arXiv:2511.21140v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are widely used as scalable evaluators of model responses in lieu of human annotators. However, imperfect sensitivity and specificity of the LLM judges induce bias in naive evaluation scores. We propose a simple plug-in framework that corrects this bias and enables statistically principled uncertainty quantification. Our framework constructs confidence intervals that account for uncertainty from both the test dataset and a human-labeled calibration dataset. Additionally, it uses an adaptive strategy to allocate calibration samples for tighter intervals. Importantly, we characterize parameter regimes defined by the true evaluation score and the LLM judge's sensitivity and specificity in which our LLM-based evaluation yields more reliable estimates than human-only evaluation. Moreover, we show that our framework remains unbiased under distribution shift between the test and calibration datasets, in contrast

arXiv:2512.00956v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Quantizing LLM weights and activations is a standard approach for efficient deployment, but a few extreme outliers can stretch the dynamic range and amplify low-bit quantization errors. Prior transform-based mitigations (e.g., Hadamard rotations) are fixed and data-agnostic, and their optimality for quantization has remained unclear. We derive closed-form optimal linear blockwise transforms for joint weight-activation quantization under standard RTN AbsMax-scaled block quantizers, covering both integer and floating-point formats. The resulting construction, WUSH, combines a Hadamard backbone with a data-dependent second-moment component to form a non-orthogonal transform that is provably near-optimal for FP and INT quantizers under mild assumptions while admitting an efficient fused GPU implementation. Empirically, WUSH improves W4A4 accuracy over the strongest Hadamard-based baselines (e.g., on Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct in MXFP4, it gain

arXiv:2512.22702v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep learning models have grown popular in time series applications. However, the large quantity of newly proposed architectures and the often contradictory empirical results make it difficult to assess which design choice and model component drives performance. In this position paper, we argue that current benchmarking practices fail to identify the factors responsible for performance differences, thus slowing down progress in the field. In particular, differences in crucial design dimensions are overlooked when comparing architectures, ultimately leading to inconsistent outcomes. To support our position, we show that such differences-often treated as mere implementation details-can have a greater impact than adopting specific sequence modeling layers. We discuss how overlooked aspects (such as globality and locality) can (1) fundamentally change the class of the forecasting method and (2) drastically affect empirical results. Our fi

arXiv:2601.00175v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Objective: Develop and evaluate machine learning (ML) models for predicting incident liver cirrhosis (LC) one and two years prior to diagnosis using routinely collected electronic health record (EHR) data and benchmark their performance against the FIB-4 and APRI clinical scores. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using de-identified EHR data from a large academic health system. XGBoost models were developed for 1- and 2-year prediction horizons, with model-specific feature selection and Bayesian hyperparameter tuning applied to improve predictive performance. The model was then evaluated on held-out test sets, and its performance was compared with FIB-4 and APRI using accuracy, precision, recall, F1, area under the precision-recall curve (PR AUC), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: Final modeling cohorts included 60,481 patients for the 1-year prediction and 47,322 for the 2-yea

arXiv:2601.16884v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study multigrade deep learning (MGDL) as a principled framework for structured error refinement in deep neural networks. While the approximation power of neural networks is now relatively well understood, training very deep architectures remains challenging due to highly nonconvex and often ill-conditioned optimization landscapes. In contrast, for relatively shallow networks, most notably certain one-hidden-layer ReLU models, training admits convex reformulations with global guarantees under appropriate settings, motivating learning paradigms that improve stability while scaling to depth. MGDL builds on this insight by training deep networks grade by grade: previously learned grades are frozen, and each newly added grade-wise subnetwork is composed on top of the previously learned grades and trained to fit the residual left by the current approximation, yielding a structured and interpretable hierarchical refinement process. We dev

arXiv:2601.22328v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world scientific systems are rarely observed through complete, regularly sampled state trajectories. Instead, measurements are often partial, noisy, and heterogeneous, providing fragmented views of latent dynamical states. We introduce MAAT (Model Aware Approximation of Trajectories), a framework for knowledge-informed Kernel State Reconstruction in partially observed dynamical systems. MAAT formulates reconstruction in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space and incorporates heterogeneous observation operators together with semantic and structural priors, including non-negativity, conservation constraints, and domain-specific measurement models. This yields smooth, physically consistent state estimates with analytic time derivatives, providing a principled interface between fragmented measurements and downstream mechanistic discovery methods such as symbolic regression. Across nine scientific benchmarks, multiple noise regimes, and a

arXiv:2601.22813v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The NVFP4 lower-precision format, supported in hardware by NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs, promises to allow, for the first time, end-to-end fully-quantized pre-training of massive models such as LLMs. Yet, existing quantized training methods still sacrifice some of the representation capacity of this format in favor of more accurate unbiased quantized gradient estimation by stochastic rounding (SR), losing noticeable accuracy relative to standard FP16 and FP8 training. In this paper, improve the state of the art for quantized training in NVFP4 via a novel unbiased quantization routine for micro-scaled formats, called MS-EDEN, that has more than 2x lower quantization error than SR. We integrate it into a novel fully-NVFP4 quantization scheme for linear layers, called Quartet II. We show analytically that Quartet II achieves consistently better gradient estimation across all major matrix multiplications, both on the forward and on the backward