Research Papers

arXiv:2605.25819v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Membership inference attacks (MIAs) are popular methods for empirically assessing the leakage of sensitive information in the training data through models or statistics learned from the data. The MIA vulnerability is often evaluated through false positive rate (FPR) and true positive rate (TPR) of a binary classifier that tries to predict whether a particular sample was in the training data. However, in order to reliably estimate the TPR especially for low FPR values, a lot of observations are needed, which in case of MIA translates to many target models, leading to large computational cost. To avoid excessive compute requirements, the MIA scores are often averaged over multiple individuals and multiple targeted models. We demonstrate two key weaknesses in this efficient MIA evaluation pipeline. First, we show that evaluating the TPR based on MIA scores concatenated across multiple individuals, commonly used to study vulnerabilities in th

arXiv:2605.25820v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Diffusion-based multimodal large language models (dMLLMs) decode by iteratively predicting tokens at multiple masked positions in parallel. This turns each decoding step into a position-selection problem: the model must choose not only which predictions are reliable in isolation, but also which positions should be committed together as context for later decoding steps. Existing confidence-based decoding ranks masked positions independently and commits the top-K positions, largely ignoring whether the committed tokens provide complementary visual grounding. We identify a step-level limitation of this strategy in multimodal settings: high-confidence tokens selected in the same step can rely on overlapping visual grounding, introducing visual redundancy among the committed tokens and leaving less complementary visual grounding available for later decoding. To quantify this effect, we introduce the Visual Redundancy Index (VRI), which measure

arXiv:2605.25864v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable advancements in reasoning capabilities empowered by Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR). Nonetheless, RLVR intrinsically relies on ground-truth labels for reward computation, the acquisition of which is often prohibitively expensive in real-world scenarios. While unsupervised RLVR paradigms attempt to circumvent this by training on pseudo-labels, they are notoriously susceptible to training collapse. Moreover, different samples often exhibit varying annotation values. In this paper, we propose Reinforcement Learning with Active Verifiable Rewards (RLAVR), which actively acquires ground-truth labels for a small set of selected samples and integrates them with pseudo-labels, thereby stabilizing training dynamics and improving performance under limited annotation budgets. To identify valuable samples, we propose the Corrective Advantage Gap (CAG) metric and analyze the s

arXiv:2605.25866v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurately predicting crystal properties is critical for accelerating materials discovery, but it is often limited by scarce labeled data and costly theoretical calculations. To alleviate this, we propose UNATE (Unsupervised Atomic Embedding), a framework that leverages structural information extracted from unlabeled crystal structures. UNATE integrates an unsupervised denoising autoencoder with self-supervised contrastive learning to learn robust atomic representations, which are then used as input features for downstream property prediction. Experimental results show that replacing raw atomic numbers with UNATE-pretrained node embeddings yields a 2.7\% improvement over the full-data baseline. Notably, the benefits become more pronounced in scenarios with limited labeled data, reaching improvements of up to 10\% when only 25\% of the labeled data is used.

arXiv:2605.25880v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large-scale transformer training and deployment are increasingly constrained by the transfer of activations, gradients, and optimizer states across accelerators. Low-bit quantization offers a natural remedy, but transformer activations are often heavy-tailed and outlier-dominated, making simple quantization highly lossy. We show that this difficulty is not only a property of the quantizer, but also of the architecture. Specifically, residual connections can drive transformer activations away from Gaussianity during training. Using controlled comparisons between residual and residual-free transformers, we demonstrate that this effect leads to substantially higher quantization error and accuracy degradation at low precision in residual models. We explain the phenomenon through an excess kurtosis analysis, showing that residual mixing can amplify non-Gaussianity, whereas dense mixing in residual-free contracts non-Gaussianity. We then show t

arXiv:2605.25882v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent advances in uncertainty quantification increasingly emphasise the distinction between aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning, motivating the need for more unified frameworks. However, despite much progress in producing reliable predictions, existing methods often lack rigorous guarantees when generalising beyond the training domain. We propose a conformalised imprecise inference framework for robust extrapolation, which is model-agnostic and augments predictive models with imprecision and distance awareness. The proposed approach yields imprecise predictions (probability boxes) that remain valid under distributional shift, maintaining coverage while adaptively expanding uncertainty in extrapolation regimes. Experiments on synthetic and benchmark datasets demonstrate improved robustness and reliable coverage compared to standard probabilistic approaches, particularly under limited data.

arXiv:2605.25888v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study how an e-commerce firm should make real-time fulfillment decisions in a two-layer distribution network when multi-item customer orders arrive sequentially and future demand is unknown. The central managerial tension is whether to use scarce front distribution center (FDC) inventory to save current fulfillment cost or preserve that inventory for future orders that may be more valuable to serve locally. We formulate an adversarial online model with multiple FDCs, one regional distribution center (RDC), multi-unit multi-item orders, and item-specific and time-varying variable costs. Our theoretical objective is to characterize when simple, interpretable, and implementable fulfillment rules can perform nearly as well as an optimal clairvoyant planner. We develop a family of Gated Priority-based Greedy policies, derive competitive-ratio guarantees under both time-varying and time-invariant cost structures, and establish matching or ne

arXiv:2605.25890v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper applies machine learning to the difficult and important task of version control merging. (1) We constructed a dataset, Merge-Bench, of 7938 real-world merge conflict hunks from 1439 GitHub repositories. The ground truth is the merge resolution that developers committed to the repository. Our dataset construction methodology is scalable to arbitrary amounts of data since no manual labeling is required. (2) We trained a model, LLMergeJ, to resolve merge conflicts in Java programs. Our approach uses Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), an online reinforcement learning method, to train a Large Language Model (LLM). (3) We performed two evaluations of the performance of LLMs on resolving merge conflicts. On Java programs, LLMergeJ with 14B parameters outperforms 3 commercial LLMs, trailing only Gemini 2.5 Pro. Across 11 programming languages, commercial LLM performance is largely stable from language to language. The best mode

arXiv:2605.25894v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm fundamentals, and recent market dynamics jointly predict the directional price movement of equities on EA days. We construct a multi-modal feature space combining 15 fundamental metrics, 3 price-based technical indicators and sentiment scores derived from financial news articles processed using FinBERT. We compare a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network and a Transformer-based architecture against a logistic regression baseline, and further assess all models with and without sentiment features to quantify their incremental value. Our results indicate that while the LSTM demonstrates higher precision through a conservative safe-bet strategy, the Transformer model exhibits superior sensitivity in identifying volatile

arXiv:2605.25902v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Narrowly finetuned language models memorize implanted content verbatim, but auditing what a deployed model has been taught, without access to its weights or training data, remains an open challenge. Recent work shows that activation differences between base and finetuned models carry readable traces of the finetuning domain; the state-of-the-art Activation Difference Lens (ADL) recovers a vague domain-level description but requires full "white-box" access to model internals. We introduce Contrastive Decoding Diffing (CDD), a model diffing method that operates on output-level logit distributions only, with no weight access, no layer selection, and no per-model tuning, yet recovers implanted facts. CDD consists of three ideas: bypassing the chat template to expose the raw finetuning prior, seeding generation with maximally vague pre-fills, and amplifying the logit-space difference between finetuned and base models at each decoding step. A s

arXiv:2605.25916v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Federated edge learning (FEEL) has recently emerged as a promising paradigm for achieving edge intelligence (EI) via enabling collaborative model training across edge devices while protecting data privacy. In this paper, we put forth an online optimization framework that jointly manages federated training and inference on resource-constrained edge devices. We introduce a tandem-queue-inspired conversion mechanism that bridges inference requests and training data, and further incorporate both data and model freshness into the accuracy formulation to capture temporal dynamics in real-world environments. To maximize inference accuracy while minimizing latency and energy consumption, the mode selections, communication, and computation resource allocations of edge devices are jointly optimized. We formulate this optimization as a multi-objective optimization problem, which is NP-hard and further complicated by the online setting. To address th

arXiv:2605.25943v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent research in time series forecasting frequently investigates the integration of textual and visual modalities with numerical models to better navigate non-stationary environments. Despite delivering solid numerical results, existing multi-modal approaches usually encounter a dilemma: prioritizing the minimization of average errors can result in excessively smooth forecasts that overlook essential fluctuations. To resolve this limitation, we introduce STaT, an innovative multimodal architecture for Symbolic-Temporal-Textual Alignment, which seamlessly unites three synergistic modalities. Specifically, the symbolic modality converts continuous time series into discrete tokens, facilitating the accurate identification of structural patterns and turning points; the temporal modality extracts inherent sequential dependencies; and the textual modality leverages domain semantics to steer the macroscopic forecasting trends. Comprehensive ev

arXiv:2605.25966v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We test whether the optimal learning-rate schedule depends on bit-width during from-initialisation quantisation-aware training (QAT) for sub-100M decoder language models. A 720-run factorial grid (Phase 2) over bit-width x warmdown fraction x LR magnitude x model size x seed (FP16/INT8/INT6, 15M-100M, 5 seeds) finds the optimal warmdown is 33% at every (bit-width, size) cell. The primary hypothesis -- that INT6 QAT requires a different schedule than higher-precision training -- is falsified at FP16/INT8/INT6. A 625-run follow-up (Phase 5) probes the null along five axes: optimiser (AdamW), schedule shape (cosine), training length (up to 9x more iterations), an extended size sweep (5M-350M), and an INT4 sweep from 3M to 100M. The null is robust under all three setup changes. The INT6 penalty follows a log-linear scaling law whose fit on Phase 2 predicts the five held-out Phase 5 sizes (5M, 8M, 175M, 250M, 350M) within their 95% prediction

arXiv:2605.25967v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As policy catches up with the capabilities of generative AI, watermarking is central to content provenance efforts. Inference-time watermarks for autoregressive models are unfit for continuous modalities due to discretization inconsistencies. Existing methods overcome this by finetuning the modality tokenizers, nullifying the watermark's training-free advantage. In this work, motivated by the vocabulary redundancy of discretization, we propose an elegant solution for powerful and robust watermarking of synthetic audio. We theoretically analyze the impact of token errors on watermark detection, and effectively mitigate them using a reduced vocabulary obtained via community detection. Thorough experiments showcase that our gradient-free method can boost detectability by several orders of magnitude, while also achieving built-in robustness to audio modifications. Broadly, we discover a new state-of-the-art for token-level watermarks in multi

arXiv:2605.24339v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present IsaacIPC, a robotic simulation framework that couples GPU accelerated incremental potential contact (IPC) with IsaacSim/Lab. IsaacIPC maps simulated deformation between simulation and visual meshes, enabling real-time realistic rendering with applications to data collection and policy evaluation. For tactile sensing, we introduce the geometric mortar contact potential (GMCP), which defines a barrier potential over contact samples on tactile surfaces to better resolve contact-pressure distributions. We evaluate GMCP on contact benchmarks and demonstrate IsaacIPC on rigid-deformable robotic simulations including a quadruped robot, a dexterous hand, and a universal manipulation interface (UMI) gripper.